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SeminarPast EventPhysics of Life

SARC-CoV-2 modeling: What have we learned from this pandemic about how (not) to model disease spread?

Workshop, Multiple Speakers

Emory University

Schedule
Thursday, January 21, 2021

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Schedule

Wednesday, January 20, 2021

11:00 PM America/New_York

Host: Emory TMLS

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Event Information

Domain

Physics of Life

Original Event

View source

Host

Emory TMLS

Duration

70 minutes

Abstract

The SARS-CoV-2 pandemic is awash in data, including daily, spatially-resolved COVID case data, virus sequence data, patients `omics data, and mobility data. Journals are now also awash in studies that make use of quantitative modeling approaches to gain insight into the geographic spread of SARS-CoV-2 and its temporal dynamics, as well as studies that predict the impact of control strategies on SARS-CoV-2 circulation. Some, but by no means all, of these studies are informed by the massive amounts of available data. Some, but by no means all, of these studies have been useful — in that their predictions revealed something beyond simple back of the envelope calculations. To summarize some of these findings, in this symposium, we will address questions such as: What do we want from models of disease spread? What can and should be predicted? Which data are the most useful for predictions? When do we need mechanistic models? What have we learned about how to model disease spread from unmet and/or conflicting predictions? The workshop speakers will explore these questions from different perspectives on what data need to be considered and how models can be evaluated. As at other TMLS workshops, each speaker will deliver a 10-minute talk with ample time set aside for moderated questions/discussion. We expect the talks to be provocative and bold, while respecting different perspectives.

Topics

COVID-19SARS-CoV-2control strategiesdisease modelinginfectious disease modelingmechanistic modelsmobility dataquantitative modelingspatially-resolved datavirus sequence data

About the Speaker

Workshop, Multiple Speakers

Emory University

Contact & Resources

Personal Website

livingtheory.emory.edu/programs/conferences-symposiums.html

@EmoryTMLS

Follow on Twitter/X

twitter.com/EmoryTMLS

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