Predictive processing offers a unifying view of neural computation, proposing that brains continuously anticipate sensory input and update internal models based on prediction errors. In this talk, I will present converging evidence for the computational mechanisms underlying this framework across human neuroscience and deep neural networks. I will begin with recent work showing that large-scale distributed prediction-error encoding in the human brain directly predicts how sensory representations reorganize through predictive learning. I will then turn to PredNet, a popular predictive coding inspired deep network that has been widely used to model real-world biological vision systems. Using dynamic stimuli generated with our Spatiotemporal Style Transfer algorithm, we demonstrate that PredNet relies primarily on low-level spatiotemporal structure and remains insensitive to high-level content, revealing limits in its generalization capacity. Finally, I will discuss new recurrent vision models that integrate top-down feedback connections with intrinsic neural variability, uncovering a dual mechanism for robust sensory coding in which neural variability decorrelates unit responses, while top-down feedback stabilizes network dynamics. Together, these results outline how prediction error signaling and top-down feedback pathways shape adaptive sensory processing in biological and artificial systems.

Animals exhibit remarkable learning capabilities with little direct supervision. Likewise, self-supervised learning is an emergent paradigm in artificial intelligence, closing the performance gap to supervised learning. In the context of biology, self-supervised learning corresponds to a setting where one sense or specific stimulus may serve as a supervisory signal for another. After learning, the latter can be used to predict the former. On the implementation level, it has been demonstrated that such predictive learning can occur at the single neuron level, in compartmentalized neurons that separate and associate information from different streams. We demonstrate the power such self-supervised learning over unsupervised (Hebb-like) learning rules, which depend heavily on stimulus statistics, in two examples: First, in the context of animal navigation where predictive learning can associate internal self-motion information always available to the animal with external visual landmark information, leading to accurate path-integration in the dark. We focus on the well-characterized fly head direction system and show that our setting learns a connectivity strikingly similar to the one reported in experiments. The mature network is a quasi-continuous attractor and reproduces key experiments in which optogenetic stimulation controls the internal representation of heading, and where the network remaps to integrate with different gains. Second, we show that incorporating global gating by reward prediction errors allows the same setting to learn conditioning at the neuronal level with mixed selectivity. At its core, conditioning entails associating a neural activity pattern induced by an unconditioned stimulus (US) with the pattern arising in response to a conditioned stimulus (CS). Solving the generic problem of pattern-to-pattern associations naturally leads to emergent cognitive phenomena like blocking, overshadowing, saliency effects, extinction, interstimulus interval effects etc. Surprisingly, we find that the same network offers a reductionist mechanism for causal inference by resolving the post hoc, ergo propter hoc fallacy.

Predictive learning hypotheses posit that the neocortex learns a hierarchical model of the structure of features in the environment. Under these hypotheses, expected or predictable features are differentiated from unexpected ones by comparing bottom-up and top-down streams of data, with unexpected features then driving changes in the representation of incoming stimuli. This is supported by numerous studies in early sensory cortices showing that pyramidal neurons respond particularly strongly to unexpected stimulus events. However, it remains unknown how their responses govern subsequent changes in stimulus representations, and thus, govern learning. Here, I present results from our study of layer 2/3 and layer 5 pyramidal neurons imaged in primary visual cortex of awake, behaving mice using two-photon calcium microscopy at both the somatic and distal apical planes. Our data reveals that individual neurons and distal apical dendrites show distinct, but predictable changes in unexpected event responses when tracked over several days. Considering existing evidence that bottom-up information is primarily targeted to somata, with distal apical dendrites receiving the bulk of top-down inputs, our findings corroborate hypothesized complementary roles for these two neuronal compartments in hierarchical computing. Altogether, our work provides novel evidence that the neocortex indeed instantiates a predictive hierarchical model in which unexpected events drive learning.