Predictive processing offers a unifying view of neural computation, proposing that brains continuously anticipate sensory input and update internal models based on prediction errors. In this talk, I will present converging evidence for the computational mechanisms underlying this framework across human neuroscience and deep neural networks. I will begin with recent work showing that large-scale distributed prediction-error encoding in the human brain directly predicts how sensory representations reorganize through predictive learning. I will then turn to PredNet, a popular predictive coding inspired deep network that has been widely used to model real-world biological vision systems. Using dynamic stimuli generated with our Spatiotemporal Style Transfer algorithm, we demonstrate that PredNet relies primarily on low-level spatiotemporal structure and remains insensitive to high-level content, revealing limits in its generalization capacity. Finally, I will discuss new recurrent vision models that integrate top-down feedback connections with intrinsic neural variability, uncovering a dual mechanism for robust sensory coding in which neural variability decorrelates unit responses, while top-down feedback stabilizes network dynamics. Together, these results outline how prediction error signaling and top-down feedback pathways shape adaptive sensory processing in biological and artificial systems.

Predictive processing is a computational framework that aims to explain how the brain processes sensory information by making predictions about the environment and minimizing prediction errors. It can also be used to explain some of the key symptoms of psychotic disorders such as schizophrenia. In my talk, I will provide an overview of our progress in this endeavor.

There has been increasing interest in the neurocomputational mechanisms underlying psychotic disorders in recent years. One promising approach is based on the theoretical framework of predictive processing, which proposes that inferences regarding the state of the world are made by combining prior beliefs with sensory signals. Delusions and hallucinations are the core symptoms of psychosis and often co-occur. Yet, different predictive-processing alterations have been proposed for these two symptom dimensions, according to which the relative weighting of prior beliefs in perceptual inference is decreased or increased, respectively. I will present recent behavioural, neuroimaging, and computational work that investigated perceptual decision-making under uncertainty and ambiguity to elucidate the changes in predictive processing that may give rise to psychotic experiences. Based on the empirical findings presented, I will provide a more nuanced predictive-processing account that suggests a common mechanism for delusions and hallucinations at low levels of the predictive-processing hierarchy, but still has the potential to reconcile apparently contradictory findings in the literature. This account may help to understand the heterogeneity of psychotic phenomenology and explain changes in symptomatology over time.

Despite the increasing recognition of predictive processing in circuit neuroscience, little is known about how it may be implemented in cortical circuits. We set out to develop and characterise a biological model system with layer 5 pyramidal cells in the centre. We aim to gain access to prediction and internal model generating processes by controlling, understanding or monitoring everything else: the sensory environment, feed-forward and feed-back inputs, integrative properties, their spiking activity and output. I’ll show recent work from the lab establishing such a model system both in terms of biology as well as tool development.

The theory of predictive processing posits that the brain computes expectations to process information predictively. Empirical evidence in support of this theory, however, is scarce and largely limited to sensory areas. Here, we report a precise and adaptive mechanism in the frontal cortex of non-human primates consistent with predictive processing of temporal events. We found that the speed of neural dynamics is precisely adjusted according to the average time of an expected stimulus. This speed adjustment, in turn, enables neurons to encode stimuli in terms of deviations from expectation. This lawful relationship was evident across multiple experiments and held true during learning: when temporal statistics underwent covert changes, neural responses underwent predictable changes that reflected the new mean. Together, these results highlight a precise mathematical relationship between temporal statistics in the environment and neural activity in the frontal cortex that may serve as a mechanism for predictive temporal processing.

Interest in psychedelic compounds is growing due to their remarkable potential for understanding altered neural states and their breakthrough status to treat various psychiatric disorders. However, there are major knowledge gaps regarding how psychedelics affect the brain. The Computational Neuroscience Laboratory at the Turner Institute for Brain and Mental Health, Monash University, uses multimodal neuroimaging to test hypotheses of the brain’s functional reorganisation under psychedelics, informed by the accounts of hierarchical predictive processing, using dynamic causal modelling (DCM). DCM is a generative modelling technique which allows to infer the directed connectivity among brain regions using functional brain imaging measurements. In this webinar, Associate Professor Adeel Razi and PhD candidate Devon Stoliker will showcase a series of previous and new findings of how changes to synaptic mechanisms, under the control of serotonin receptors, across the brain hierarchy influence sensory and associative brain connectivity. Understanding these neural mechanisms of subjective and therapeutic effects of psychedelics is critical for rational development of novel treatments and for the design and success of future clinical trials. Associate Professor Adeel Razi is a NHMRC Investigator Fellow and CIFAR Azrieli Global Scholar at the Turner Institute of Brain and Mental Health, Monash University. He performs cross-disciplinary research combining engineering, physics, and machine-learning. Devon Stoliker is a PhD candidate at the Turner Institute for Brain and Mental Health, Monash University. His interest in consciousness and psychiatry has led him to investigate the neural mechanisms of classic psychedelic effects in the brain.

Sensory stimuli are often predictable consequences of one’s actions, and behavior exerts a correspondingly strong influence over sensory responses in the brain. Closed-loop experiments with the ability to control the sensory outcomes of specific animal behaviors have revealed that neural responses to self-generated sounds are suppressed in the auditory cortex, suggesting a role for prediction in local sensory processing. However, it is unclear whether this phenomenon derives from a precise movement-based prediction or how it affects the neural representation of incoming stimuli. We address these questions by designing a behavioral paradigm where mice learn to expect the predictable acoustic consequences of a simple forelimb movement. Neuronal recordings from auditory cortex revealed suppression of neural responses that was strongest for the expected tone and specific to the time of the sound-associated movement. Predictive suppression in the auditory cortex was layer-specific, preceded by the arrival of movement information, and unaffected by behavioral relevance or reward association. These findings illustrate that expectation, learned through motor-sensory experience, drives layer-specific predictive processing in the mouse auditory cortex.

At the foundation of human conscious experience lie basic embodied experiences of selfhood – experiences of simply ‘being alive’. In this talk, I will make the case that this central feature of human existence is underpinned by predictive regulation of the interior of the body, using the framework of predictive processing, or active inference. I start by showing how conscious experiences of the world around us can be understood in terms of perceptual predictions, drawing on examples from psychophysics and virtual reality. Then, turning the lens inwards, we will see how the experience of being an ‘embodied self’ rests on control-oriented predictive (allostatic) regulation of the body’s physiological condition. This approach implies a deep connection between mind and life, and provides a new way to understand the subjective nature of consciousness as emerging from systems that care intrinsically about their own existence. Contrary to the old doctrine of Descartes, we are conscious because we are beast machines.

According to the theory of predictive processing, expectations modulate neural activity so as to optimize the processing of sensory inputs expected in the current environment. While there is accumulating evidence that the brain indeed operates under this principle, most of the attention has been placed on mechanisms that rely on static coding properties of neurons. The potential contribution of dynamical features, such as those reflected in the evolution of neural population dynamics, has thus far been overlooked. In this talk, I will present evidence for a novel mechanism for predictive processing in the temporal domain which relies on neural population dynamics. I will use recordings from the frontal cortex of macaques trained on a time interval reproduction task and show how neural dynamics can be directly related to animals’ temporal expectations, both in a stationary environment and during learning.