Multilevel Causal Modeling

Complex systems can be modeled at various levels of granularity, e.g., we can model a person at the cognitive level, on the neuronal level, or down to the biochemical level. When multiple models represent the same system at different scales, we would like to be able to reason about the causal effects of interventions on each level in such a way that the models remain consistent across levels. In the first part of this talk, I consider which conditions must be fulfilled for two structural equation models (SEMs) to stand in such a causally consistent relation. In the second part of the talk, I present recent work on learning causally consistent SEMs across multiple levels, distinguishing between bottom-up (micro- to macro-level) and top-down (macro- to micro-level) approaches.