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Topic: Sensitivity analysis

Seminar
1 seminar

In Econometrics and Economics

Seminar · Statistics

Long Story Short: Omitted Variable Bias in Causal Machine Learning

Victor Chernozhukov · Massachusetts Institute of Technology

Wed, Aug 2, 2023 · 20:10 UTC

Victor Chernozhukov develops sharp bounds on omitted-variable bias for a broad class of causal quantities. The framework covers averages of potential outcomes, average treatment effects, average derivatives, and policy effects generated by shifts in covariate distributions within general nonparametric causal models. Using the Riesz–Fréchet representation of the target quantity, the analysis expresses the bias bound through the additional variation that unobserved variables introduce into the outcome and the relevant Riesz representer. Debiased machine learning then provides flexible statistic

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