Peril, Prudence and Planning as Risk, Avoidance and Worry
Schedule
Thursday, April 1, 2021
01:00 UTC
Peter Dayan
Prof
University of Tübingen
Host: Caltech SocDecNeuro
Recording
Open recording
Event Information
Recording
Available
Host
Caltech SocDecNeuro
Duration
70 minutes
Abstract
Risk occupies a central role in both the theory and practice of decision-making. Although it is deeply implicated in many conditions involving dysfunctional behavior and thought, modern theoretical approaches to understanding and mitigating risk in either one-shot or sequential settings, which are derived largely from finance and economics, have yet to permeate fully the fields of neural reinforcement learning and computational psychiatry. I will discuss the use of dynamic and static versions of one prominent approach, namely conditional value-at-risk, to examine both the nature of risk avoidant choices, encompassing such things as justified gambler's fallacies, and the optimal planning that can lead to consideration of such choices, with implications for offline, ruminative, thinking.
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