The ubiquity of opportunity cost: Foraging and beyond
A key insight from the foraging literature is the importance of assessing the overall environmental quality — via global reward rate or similar measures, which capture the opportunity cost of time and can guide behavioral allocation toward relatively richer options. Meanwhile, the majority of research in decision neuroscience and computational psychiatry has focused instead on how choices are guided by much more local, event-locked evaluations: of individual situations, actions, or outcomes. I review a combination of research and theoretical speculation from my lab and others that emphasizes the role of foraging's average rewards and opportunity costs in a much larger range of decision problems, including risk, time discounting, vigor, cognitive control, and deliberation. The broad range of behaviors affected by this type of evaluation gives a new theoretical perspective on the effects of stress and autonomic mobilization, and on mood and the broad range of symptoms associated with mood disorders.
Peril, Prudence and Planning as Risk, Avoidance and Worry
Risk occupies a central role in both the theory and practice of decision-making. Although it is deeply implicated in many conditions involving dysfunctional behavior and thought, modern theoretical approaches to understanding and mitigating risk in either one-shot or sequential settings, which are derived largely from finance and economics, have yet to permeate fully the fields of neural reinforcement learning and computational psychiatry. I will discuss the use of dynamic and static versions of one prominent approach, namely conditional value-at-risk, to examine both the nature of risk avoidant choices, encompassing such things as justified gambler's fallacies, and the optimal planning that can lead to consideration of such choices, with implications for offline, ruminative, thinking.