Topic: Uncertainty

Seminar
15 seminars
SeminarBrain Imaging

Decomposing motivation into value and salience

Philippe Tobler
University of Zurich
Nov 1, 2024

Humans and other animals approach reward and avoid punishment and pay attention to cues predicting these events. Such motivated behavior thus appears to be guided by value, which directs behavior towards or away from positively or negatively valenced outcomes. Moreover, it is facilitated by (top-down) salience, which enhances attention to behaviorally relevant learned cues predicting the occurrence of valenced outcomes. Using human neuroimaging, we recently separated value (ventral striatum, posterior ventromedial prefrontal cortex) from salience (anterior ventromedial cortex, occipital cortex) in the domain of liquid reward and punishment. Moreover, we investigated potential drivers of learned salience: the probability and uncertainty with which valenced and non-valenced outcomes occur. We find that the brain dissociates valenced from non-valenced probability and uncertainty, which indicates that reinforcement matters for the brain, in addition to information provided by probability and uncertainty alone, regardless of valence. Finally, we assessed learning signals (unsigned prediction errors) that may underpin the acquisition of salience. Particularly the insula appears to be central for this function, encoding a subjective salience prediction error, similarly at the time of positively and negatively valenced outcomes. However, it appears to employ domain-specific time constants, leading to stronger salience signals in the aversive than the appetitive domain at the time of cues. These findings explain why previous research associated the insula with both valence-independent salience processing and with preferential encoding of the aversive domain. More generally, the distinction of value and salience appears to provide a useful framework for capturing the neural basis of motivated behavior.

SeminarComputational NeuroscienceRecording

Flip flops and toggles for effective decision making in neural circuits

Tim O'Leary
University of Cambridge
Apr 17, 2024

Neural computation is inextricably bound to decisions that must be made under time pressure and uncertainty. At the level of neural circuits, single neurons need to decide whether to spike. On longer timescales, the component circuitry needs to decide whether to reconfigure to store memories and adapt to novel situations. In this talk I will focus on two fun ideas in each of these contexts by showing how nonlinearities in neural components naturally form excitable switches that enable reliable decisions to be made in fluctuating environments. I will also issue propaganda that the kind of high level, cognitive faculties that we normally associate with decision making apply equally well and are understudied at the level of neural and synaptic populations. Presented in the van Vreeswijk Theoretical Neuroscience Seminar series (formerly WWTNS) on 2024-04-17. Recording duration: 00:41:08.

SeminarBrain Imaging

Characterising Representations of Goal Obstructiveness and Uncertainty Across Behavior, Physiology, and Brain Activity Through a Video Game Paradigm

Mi Xue Tan
University of Geneva
Dec 18, 2023

The nature of emotions and their neural underpinnings remain debated. Appraisal theories such as the component process model propose that the perception and evaluation of events (appraisal) is the key to eliciting the range of emotions we experience. Here we study whether the framework of appraisal theories provides a clearer account for the differentiation of emotional episodes and their functional organisation in the brain. We developed a stealth game to manipulate appraisals in a systematic yet immersive way. The interactive nature of video games heightens self-relevance through the experience of goal-directed action or reaction, evoking strong emotions. We show that our manipulations led to changes in behaviour, physiology and brain activations.

SeminarCognition

Decoding mental conflict between reward and curiosity in decision-making

Naoki Honda
Hiroshima University
Jul 11, 2023

Humans and animals are not always rational. They not only rationally exploit rewards but also explore an environment owing to their curiosity. However, the mechanism of such curiosity-driven irrational behavior is largely unknown. Here, we developed a decision-making model for a two-choice task based on the free energy principle, which is a theory integrating recognition and action selection. The model describes irrational behaviors depending on the curiosity level. We also proposed a machine learning method to decode temporal curiosity from behavioral data. By applying it to rat behavioral data, we found that the rat had negative curiosity, reflecting conservative selection sticking to more certain options and that the level of curiosity was upregulated by the expected future information obtained from an uncertain environment. Our decoding approach can be a fundamental tool for identifying the neural basis for reward–curiosity conflicts. Furthermore, it could be effective in diagnosing mental disorders.

SeminarPsychiatry

A predictive-processing account of psychosis

Philipp Sterzer
University of Basel, Switzerland
Nov 1, 2022

There has been increasing interest in the neurocomputational mechanisms underlying psychotic disorders in recent years. One promising approach is based on the theoretical framework of predictive processing, which proposes that inferences regarding the state of the world are made by combining prior beliefs with sensory signals. Delusions and hallucinations are the core symptoms of psychosis and often co-occur. Yet, different predictive-processing alterations have been proposed for these two symptom dimensions, according to which the relative weighting of prior beliefs in perceptual inference is decreased or increased, respectively. I will present recent behavioural, neuroimaging, and computational work that investigated perceptual decision-making under uncertainty and ambiguity to elucidate the changes in predictive processing that may give rise to psychotic experiences. Based on the empirical findings presented, I will provide a more nuanced predictive-processing account that suggests a common mechanism for delusions and hallucinations at low levels of the predictive-processing hierarchy, but still has the potential to reconcile apparently contradictory findings in the literature. This account may help to understand the heterogeneity of psychotic phenomenology and explain changes in symptomatology over time.

SeminarComputational NeuroscienceRecording

The Secret Bayesian Life of Ring Attractor Networks

Anna Kutschireiter
Spiden AG, Pfäffikon, Switzerland
Sep 7, 2022

Efficient navigation requires animals to track their position, velocity and heading direction (HD). Some animals’ behavior suggests that they also track uncertainties about these navigational variables, and make strategic use of these uncertainties, in line with a Bayesian computation. Ring-attractor networks have been proposed to estimate and track these navigational variables, for instance in the HD system of the fruit fly Drosophila. However, such networks are not designed to incorporate a notion of uncertainty, and therefore seem unsuited to implement dynamic Bayesian inference. Here, we close this gap by showing that specifically tuned ring-attractor networks can track both a HD estimate and its associated uncertainty, thereby approximating a circular Kalman filter. We identified the network motifs required to integrate angular velocity observations, e.g., through self-initiated turns, and absolute HD observations, e.g., visual landmark inputs, according to their respective reliabilities, and show that these network motifs are present in the connectome of the Drosophila HD system. Specifically, our network encodes uncertainty in the amplitude of a localized bump of neural activity, thereby generalizing standard ring attractor models. In contrast to such standard attractors, however, proper Bayesian inference requires the network dynamics to operate in a regime away from the attractor state. More generally, we show that near-Bayesian integration is inherent in generic ring attractor networks, and that their amplitude dynamics can account for close-to-optimal reliability weighting of external evidence for a wide range of network parameters. This only holds, however, if their connection strengths allow the network to sufficiently deviate from the attractor state. Overall, our work offers a novel interpretation of ring attractor networks as implementing dynamic Bayesian integrators. We further provide a principled theoretical foundation for the suggestion that the Drosophila HD system may implement Bayesian HD tracking via ring attractor dynamics.

SeminarComputational NeuroscienceRecording

Spatial uncertainty provides a unifying account of navigation behavior and grid field deformations

Yul Kang
Lengyel lab, Cambridge University
Apr 6, 2022

To localize ourselves in an environment for spatial navigation, we rely on vision and self-motion inputs, which only provide noisy and partial information. It is unknown how the resulting uncertainty affects navigation behavior and neural representations. Here we show that spatial uncertainty underlies key effects of environmental geometry on navigation behavior and grid field deformations. We develop an ideal observer model, which continually updates probabilistic beliefs about its allocentric location by optimally combining noisy egocentric visual and self-motion inputs via Bayesian filtering. This model directly yields predictions for navigation behavior and also predicts neural responses under population coding of location uncertainty. We simulate this model numerically under manipulations of a major source of uncertainty, environmental geometry, and support our simulations by analytic derivations for its most salient qualitative features. We show that our model correctly predicts a wide range of experimentally observed effects of the environmental geometry and its change on homing response distribution and grid field deformation. Thus, our model provides a unifying, normative account for the dependence of homing behavior and grid fields on environmental geometry, and identifies the unavoidable uncertainty in navigation as a key factor underlying these diverse phenomena.

SeminarComputational NeuroscienceRecording

The role of the primate prefrontal cortex in inferring the state of the world and predicting change

Ramon Bartolo
Averbeck lab, Nation Institute of Mental Health
Sep 8, 2021

In an ever-changing environment, uncertainty is omnipresent. To deal with this, organisms have evolved mechanisms that allow them to take advantage of environmental regularities in order to make decisions robustly and adjust their behavior efficiently, thus maximizing their chances of survival. In this talk, I will present behavioral evidence that animals perform model-based state inference to predict environmental state changes and adjust their behavior rapidly, rather than slowly updating choice values. This model-based inference process can be described using Bayesian change-point models. Furthermore, I will show that neural populations in the prefrontal cortex accurately predict behavioral switches, and that the activity of these populations is associated with Bayesian estimates. In addition, we will see that learning leads to the emergence of a high-dimensional representational subspace that can be reused when the animals re-learn a previously learned set of action-value associations. Altogether, these findings highlight the role of the PFC in representing a belief about the current state of the world.

SeminarPsychiatry

Learning under uncertainty in autism and anxiety

Timothy Sandhu
University of Cambridge, MRC CBU
Jun 16, 2021

Optimally interacting with a changeable and uncertain world requires estimating and representing uncertainty. Psychiatric and neurodevelopmental conditions such as anxiety and autism are characterized by an altered response to uncertainty. I will review the evidence for these phenomena from computational modelling, and outline the planned experiments from our lab to add further weight to these ideas. If time allows, I will present results from a control sample in a novel task interrogating a particular type of uncertainty and their associated transdiagnostic psychiatric traits.

SeminarNeuroscienceRecording

The neural dynamics of causal Inference across the cortical hierarchy

Uta Noppeney
Donders Institute for Brain, Cognition and Behaviour
May 27, 2021
SeminarPsychology

CrossTalk: Conversations at the Intersection of Science and Art

Alexa Miller
Arts Practica
Feb 26, 2021

Join us for a conversation on the science of uncertainty, mind wandering and creativity!

SeminarComputational NeuroscienceRecording

A geometric framework to predict structure from function in neural networks

James Fitzgerald
Janelia Research Campus
Feb 3, 2021

The structural connectivity matrix of synaptic weights between neurons is a critical determinant of overall network function. However, quantitative links between neural network structure and function are complex and subtle. For example, many networks can give rise to similar functional responses, and the same network can function differently depending on context. Whether certain patterns of synaptic connectivity are required to generate specific network-level computations is largely unknown. Here we introduce a geometric framework for identifying synaptic connections required by steady-state responses in recurrent networks of rectified-linear neurons. Assuming that the number of specified response patterns does not exceed the number of input synapses, we analytically calculate all feedforward and recurrent connectivity matrices that can generate the specified responses from the network inputs. We then use this analytical characterization to rigorously analyze the solution space geometry and derive certainty conditions guaranteeing a non-zero synapse between neurons.

SeminarCognition

Uncertainty in learning and decision making

Maarten Speekenbrink
UCL
Jan 20, 2021

Uncertainty plays a critical role in reinforcement learning and decision making. However, exactly how subjective uncertainty influences behaviour remains unclear. Multi-armed bandits are a useful framework to gain more insight into this. Paired with computational tools such as Kalman filters, they allow us to closely characterize the interplay between trial-by-trial value, uncertainty, learning, and choice. In this talk, I will present recent research where we also measured participants visual fixations on the options in a multi-armed bandit task. The estimated value of each option, and the uncertainty in these estimations, influenced what subjects looked at in the period before making a choice and their subsequent choice, as additionally did fixation itself. Uncertainty also determined how long participants looked at the obtained outcomes. Our findings clearly show the importance of uncertainty in learning and decision making.

SeminarCognition

Individual differences in decision-making under uncertainty: a neuroeconomic approach

Ifat Levy
Yale
Jun 9, 2020
SeminarComputational Neuroscience

Rational thoughts in neural codes

Xaq Pitkow
Baylor College of Medicine & Rice University
May 8, 2020

First, we describe a new method for inferring the mental model of an animal performing a natural task. We use probabilistic methods to compute the most likely mental model based on an animal’s sensory observations and actions. This also reveals dynamic beliefs that would be optimal according to the animal’s internal model, and thus provides a practical notion of “rational thoughts.” Second, we construct a neural coding framework by which these rational thoughts, their computational dynamics, and actions can be identified within the manifold of neural activity. We illustrate the value of this approach by training an artificial neural network to perform a generalization of a widely used foraging task. We analyze the network’s behaviour to find rational thoughts, and successfully recover the neural properties that implemented those thoughts, providing a way of interpreting the complex neural dynamics of the artificial brain. Joint work with Zhengwei Wu, Minhae Kwon, Saurabh Daptardar, and Paul Schrater.

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