Causal Inference
causal inference
Prof. Gustau Camps-Valls
5 PhD and postdoc positions on AI for Earth sciences - University of Valencia Dear Colleagues, We have 5 open PhD and postdoc positions in two exciting projects: 1. "Causal4Africa: Causal inference to understand food security" in collaboration with the University of Reading and Microsoft Research 2. "AI4CS: AI for Complex Systems" in collaboration with many national and international institutes, and with tight connections with our ERC Synergy Grant USMILE on "Understanding and Modeling the Earth System with Machine Learning" * Details about the positions and the application form are here: http://isp.uv.es/openings * Applications will be evaluated as soon as they are received, and the positions will remain open until filled. * Full consideration will be given to applications that are received before October 15, 2022 * Who should apply? only if you are knowledgeable in machine learning, deep learning & causal inference, and strongly interested in Earth, climate and social sciences. Please feel free to share with any potential candidates! Best regards, Gustau -- ---------------------------------------------------------- Prof. Gustau Camps-Valls, IEEE Fellow, ELLIS Fellow Image Processing Laboratory (IPL) - Building E4 - Floor 4 Universitat de València C/ Catedrático José Beltrán, 9 46980 Paterna (València). Spain
Prof. Wenhao Zhang
The Computational Neuroscience lab directed by Dr. Wenhao Zhang at the University of Texas Southwestern Medical Center (www.zhang-cnl.org) is currently seeking up to two postdoctoral fellows to study cutting edge problems in computational neuroscience. Research topics include: 1). The neural circuit implementation of normative computation, e.g., Bayesian (causal) inference. 2). Dynamical analysis of recurrent neural circuit models. 3). Modern deep learning methods to solve neuroscience problems. Successful candidates are expected to play an active and independent role in one of our research topics. All projects are strongly encouraged to collaborate with experimental neuroscientists both in UT Southwestern as well as abroad. The initial appointment is for one year with the expectation of extension given satisfactory performance. UT Southwestern provides competitive salary and benefits packages.
Prof Wenhao Zhang
The Computational Neuroscience lab directed by Dr. Wenhao Zhang at the University of Texas Southwestern Medical Center (www.zhang-cnl.org) is currently seeking up to two postdoctoral fellows to study cutting edge problems in computational neuroscience. Research topics include: 1). The neural circuit implementation of normative computation, e.g., Bayesian (causal) inference. 2). Dynamical analysis of recurrent neural circuit models. 3). Modern deep learning methods to solve neuroscience problems. Successful candidates are expected to play an active and independent role in one of our research topics. All projects are strongly encouraged to collaborate with experimental neuroscientists both in UT Southwestern as well as abroad. The initial appointment is for one year with the expectation of extension given satisfactory performance. UT Southwestern provides competitive salary and benefits packages.
Constantine Dovrolis
The Cyprus Institute invites applications for a highly qualified and motivated individual to join the Institute as a Postdoctoral Research Fellow in Machine Learning and Data Science for Climate Science in CaSToRC. The successful candidate will apply Machine Learning for investigating key processes of the Earth System, including (but not limited to) the following: Extreme event (weather, temperature, precipitation, etc.) risk detection, Data-driven and hybrid modeling of the Earth system, Using machine learning to develop new parameterizations for climate models, Causal inference in the context of climate change, Machine learning in support to air quality modelling for exposure mapping, super-resolution, short-term forecasts and long-term projections. The candidate will be working primarily with Prof. Constantine Dovrolis, Prof. Theo Christoudias and Prof. Johannes Lelieveld. The appointment is for a period of 2 years, with the possibility of renewal subject to performance and the availability of funds.
Multisensory perception, learning, and memory
Note the later start time!
Visual-vestibular cue comparison for perception of environmental stationarity
Note the later time!
The future of neuropsychology will be open, transdiagnostic, and FAIR - why it matters and how we can get there
Cognitive neuroscience has witnessed great progress since modern neuroimaging embraced an open science framework, with the adoption of shared principles (Wilkinson et al., 2016), standards (Gorgolewski et al., 2016), and ontologies (Poldrack et al., 2011), as well as practices of meta-analysis (Yarkoni et al., 2011; Dockès et al., 2020) and data sharing (Gorgolewski et al., 2015). However, while functional neuroimaging data provide correlational maps between cognitive functions and activated brain regions, its usefulness in determining causal link between specific brain regions and given behaviors or functions is disputed (Weber et al., 2010; Siddiqiet al 2022). On the contrary, neuropsychological data enable causal inference, highlighting critical neural substrates and opening a unique window into the inner workings of the brain (Price, 2018). Unfortunately, the adoption of Open Science practices in clinical settings is hampered by several ethical, technical, economic, and political barriers, and as a result, open platforms enabling access to and sharing clinical (meta)data are scarce (e.g., Larivière et al., 2021). We are working with clinicians, neuroimagers, and software developers to develop an open source platform for the storage, sharing, synthesis and meta-analysis of human clinical data to the service of the clinical and cognitive neuroscience community so that the future of neuropsychology can be transdiagnostic, open, and FAIR. We call it neurocausal (https://neurocausal.github.io).
Network inference via process motifs for lagged correlation in linear stochastic processes
A major challenge for causal inference from time-series data is the trade-off between computational feasibility and accuracy. Motivated by process motifs for lagged covariance in an autoregressive model with slow mean-reversion, we propose to infer networks of causal relations via pairwise edge measure (PEMs) that one can easily compute from lagged correlation matrices. Motivated by contributions of process motifs to covariance and lagged variance, we formulate two PEMs that correct for confounding factors and for reverse causation. To demonstrate the performance of our PEMs, we consider network interference from simulations of linear stochastic processes, and we show that our proposed PEMs can infer networks accurately and efficiently. Specifically, for slightly autocorrelated time-series data, our approach achieves accuracies higher than or similar to Granger causality, transfer entropy, and convergent crossmapping -- but with much shorter computation time than possible with any of these methods. Our fast and accurate PEMs are easy-to-implement methods for network inference with a clear theoretical underpinning. They provide promising alternatives to current paradigms for the inference of linear models from time-series data, including Granger causality, vector-autoregression, and sparse inverse covariance estimation.
Learning static and dynamic mappings with local self-supervised plasticity
Animals exhibit remarkable learning capabilities with little direct supervision. Likewise, self-supervised learning is an emergent paradigm in artificial intelligence, closing the performance gap to supervised learning. In the context of biology, self-supervised learning corresponds to a setting where one sense or specific stimulus may serve as a supervisory signal for another. After learning, the latter can be used to predict the former. On the implementation level, it has been demonstrated that such predictive learning can occur at the single neuron level, in compartmentalized neurons that separate and associate information from different streams. We demonstrate the power such self-supervised learning over unsupervised (Hebb-like) learning rules, which depend heavily on stimulus statistics, in two examples: First, in the context of animal navigation where predictive learning can associate internal self-motion information always available to the animal with external visual landmark information, leading to accurate path-integration in the dark. We focus on the well-characterized fly head direction system and show that our setting learns a connectivity strikingly similar to the one reported in experiments. The mature network is a quasi-continuous attractor and reproduces key experiments in which optogenetic stimulation controls the internal representation of heading, and where the network remaps to integrate with different gains. Second, we show that incorporating global gating by reward prediction errors allows the same setting to learn conditioning at the neuronal level with mixed selectivity. At its core, conditioning entails associating a neural activity pattern induced by an unconditioned stimulus (US) with the pattern arising in response to a conditioned stimulus (CS). Solving the generic problem of pattern-to-pattern associations naturally leads to emergent cognitive phenomena like blocking, overshadowing, saliency effects, extinction, interstimulus interval effects etc. Surprisingly, we find that the same network offers a reductionist mechanism for causal inference by resolving the post hoc, ergo propter hoc fallacy.
NMC4 Short Talk: Neurocomputational mechanisms of causal inference during multisensory processing in the macaque brain
Natural perception relies inherently on inferring causal structure in the environment. However, the neural mechanisms and functional circuits that are essential for representing and updating the hidden causal structure during multisensory processing are unknown. To address this, monkeys were trained to infer the probability of a potential common source from visual and proprioceptive signals on the basis of their spatial disparity in a virtual reality system. The proprioceptive drift reported by monkeys demonstrated that they combined historical information and current multisensory signals to estimate the hidden common source and subsequently updated both the causal structure and sensory representation. Single-unit recordings in premotor and parietal cortices revealed that neural activity in premotor cortex represents the core computation of causal inference, characterizing the estimation and update of the likelihood of integrating multiple sensory inputs at a trial-by-trial level. In response to signals from premotor cortex, neural activity in parietal cortex also represents the causal structure and further dynamically updates the sensory representation to maintain consistency with the causal inference structure. Thus, our results indicate how premotor cortex integrates historical information and sensory inputs to infer hidden variables and selectively updates sensory representations in parietal cortex to support behavior. This dynamic loop of frontal-parietal interactions in the causal inference framework may provide the neural mechanism to answer long-standing questions regarding how neural circuits represent hidden structures for body-awareness and agency.
Conflict in Multisensory Perception
Multisensory perception is often studied through the effects of inter-sensory conflict, such as in the McGurk effect, the Ventriloquist illusion, and the Rubber Hand Illusion. Moreover, Bayesian approaches to cue fusion and causal inference overwhelmingly draw on cross-modal conflict to measure and to model multisensory perception. Given the prevalence of conflict, it is remarkable that accounts of multisensory perception have so far neglected the theory of conflict monitoring and cognitive control, established about twenty years ago. I hope to make a case for the role of conflict monitoring and resolution during multisensory perception. To this end, I will present EEG and fMRI data showing that cross-modal conflict in speech, resulting in either integration or segregation, triggers neural mechanisms of conflict detection and resolution. I will also present data supporting a role of these mechanisms during perceptual conflict in general, using Binocular Rivalry, surrealistic imagery, and cinema. Based on this preliminary evidence, I will argue that it is worth considering the potential role of conflict in multisensory perception and its incorporation in a causal inference framework. Finally, I will raise some potential problems associated with this proposal.
The neural dynamics of causal Inference across the cortical hierarchy
How multisensory perception is shaped by causal inference and serial effects
Multisensory Perception: Behaviour, Computations and Neural Mechanisms
Our senses are constantly bombarded with a myriad of diverse signals. Transforming this sensory cacophony into a coherent percept of our environment relies on solving two computational challenges: First, we need to solve the causal inference problem - deciding whether signals come from a common cause and thus should be integrated, or come from different sources and be treated independently. Second, when there is a common cause, we should integrate signals across the senses weighted in proportion to their sensory reliabilities. I discuss recent research at the behavioural, computational and neural systems level that investigates how the brain addresses these two computational challenges in multisensory perception.
Causal inference can explain hierarchical motion perception and is reflected in neural responses in MT
COSYNE 2022
A causal inference model of spike train interactions in fast response regimes
COSYNE 2023
Divisive normalization as a mechanism for hierarchical causal inference in motion perception
COSYNE 2023
Bayesian causal inference predicts center-surround interactions in MT
COSYNE 2025
Atypical development of causal inference in autism
FENS Forum 2024
Bayesian causal inference predicts center-surround interactions in the middle temporal visual area (MT)
FENS Forum 2024