Risk Preferences
risk preferences
Feedback-induced dispositional changes in risk preferences
Contrary to the original normative decision-making standpoint, empirical studies have repeatedly reported that risk preferences are affected by the disclosure of choice outcomes (feedback). Although no consensus has yet emerged regarding the properties and mechanisms of this effect, a widespread and intuitive hypothesis is that repeated feedback affects risk preferences by means of a learning effect, which alters the representation of subjective probabilities. Here, we ran a series of seven experiments (N= 538), tailored to decipher the effects of feedback on risk preferences. Our results indicate that the presence of feedback consistently increases risk-taking, even when the risky option is economically less advantageous. Crucially, risk-taking increases just after the instructions, before participants experience any feedback. These results challenge the learning account, and advocate for a dispositional effect, induced by the mere anticipation of feedback information. Epistemic curiosity and regret avoidance may drive this effect in partial and complete feedback conditions, respectively.
Thurstonian measurement of risk preferences: contemporary economic outlook
Recent economics literature has seen a revival of interest to psychologically-grounded theories of decision under risk. We review the recent proposals in this direction, compare it to classical estimations based on utility functions, and discuss their appropriateness using some original experimental data.