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Seminar, Hosted by NOAA Science Seminar Series

Flash Drought and Hydrological Prediction

Randal Koster

NASA Goddard Space Flight Center, Global Modeling and Assimilation Office (Retired)

Abstract

Investigate two aspects of drought prediction. Reanalysis data are used to separate the roles of precipitation and evapotranspiration anomalies in rapidly developing drought, explicitly considering soil-moisture state. A second analysis connects initial soil moisture with streamflow forecast skill from weather to seasonal timescales and examines the influence of precipitation processing.

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